{"generated_at": "2026-10-23T15:57:30", "date": "2026-10-23", "notify": false, "tracking_since": "2026-10-06", "base_rate_note": "about 21% at random times in the backtest", "rules": {"move_start_5m": {"label": "Move may be starting", "short": "5m PCR", "magnitude": false}, "confirmed_15m": {"label": "Confirmed on 15-min", "short": "15m OI", "magnitude": false}, "iv_spike_15m": {"label": "Bigger move likely (IV spike)", "short": "15m IV", "magnitude": true}, "skew_shift_3m": {"label": "Skew shift + price", "short": "3m skew", "magnitude": false}}, "today": [{"rule": "confirmed_15m", "time": "13:45", "dir": 1, "z": 3.9, "fut_price": 22656, "pcr": 0.77, "diff_l": -687.7, "entry": 22664.8, "hit": 0, "fwd30": -53.4, "fwd60": -139.6}, {"rule": "move_start_5m", "time": "13:45", "dir": 1, "z": 3.1, "fut_price": 22656, "pcr": 0.77, "diff_l": -687.7, "entry": 22664.8, "hit": 0, "fwd30": -53.4, "fwd60": -139.6}], "scorecard": {"move_start_5m": {"n": 5, "hit_rate": 0.6, "right_way": 0.4, "avg_fwd60": -8.5, "avg_move_after": null, "typical_move": null, "magnitude": false}, "confirmed_15m": {"n": 5, "hit_rate": 0.4, "right_way": 0.4, "avg_fwd60": -37.6, "avg_move_after": null, "typical_move": null, "magnitude": false}, "iv_spike_15m": {"n": 0, "hit_rate": null, "right_way": null, "avg_fwd60": null, "avg_move_after": null, "typical_move": null, "magnitude": true}, "skew_shift_3m": {"n": 7, "hit_rate": 0.0, "right_way": 0.429, "avg_fwd60": -10.6, "avg_move_after": null, "typical_move": null, "magnitude": false}}}